Palo Alto Blog

Palo Alto Housing Market – Fourth Quarter 2010 Update

Palo Alto 4th Quarter 2010 3rd Quarter 2010 2nd Quarter 2010 1st Quarter 2010
Median Sales Price $1,315,000 $1,385,000 (-5%) $1,468,000 (-10%) $1,436,785 (-9%)
Average Days on Market 45 35 (+29%) 36 (+25%) 65 (-31%)
Closed Sales 124 119 (+4%) 123 (+1%) 72 (+72%)
Sales Price to List Price Ratio 100.86% 101.26% (-0.4%) 99.91% (+1%) 98.33% (+2%)
Total Sales Volume $174,393,860 $183,524,813 (-5%) $205,188,388 (-15%) $112,621,878 (+54%)

(single-family home data from MLS listings Inc.)

Palo Alto, the feather in the cap of Silicon Valley real estate, struggled with its median sales price, falling two straight quarters after reaching its peak in second quarter of this year since the housing bust. The fourth quarter of 2010 was lower than the same period in 2008 ($1,350,000) and in 2009 ($1,370,000). This is due to two factors: the real estate market adjusting to pre-bubble prices, and fewer expensive properties being listed because of the deprecated values.

On the positive side, sales are up overall, beating all previous quarters this year and the fourth quarters of 2008 and 2009. The sales price to list price ratio is also one of the most balanced of our four city comparison, and with a ratio just above 100%, the only one favoring the seller.

Palo Alto Housing Market – Third Quarter 2010 Update

Palo Alto 3rd Quarter 2010 2nd Quarter 2010 1st Quarter 2010 3rd Quarter 2009
Median Sales Price $1,385,000 $1,468,000 (-5.7%) $1,436,785 (-3.6%) $1,298,000 (+6.7%)
Average Days on Market 35 36 (-5.3%) 65 (-46.2% 57 (-38.6%)
Closed Sales 119 123 (-3.3%) 72 (+65.3%) 111 (+7.2%)
Sales Price to List Price Ratio 101.26% 99.91% (+1.4%) 98.33% (+3%) 96.81% (+4.6%)
Total Sales Volume $183,524,813 $205,188,388 (-10.6%) $112,621,878 (+63%) $157,372,155 (+16.6%)

(single-family home data from MLS listings Inc.)

Palo Alto really established itself this quarter as a market leader. Compared to the third quarter in 2009, Palo Alto has improved in all five measures. This quarter Palo Alto jumped its selling price to listing price ratio ahead of the other three cities in our comparison to 101.26%, turning it into a seller’s market. Though, what this means for future home prices or the market is anybody’s guess as we enter the winter quarter.

Continue Reading »

Palo Alto Housing Market – Second Quarter 2010 Update

(single-family home data from MLS listings Inc.)

Because Palo Alto has a wide range of home prices, the entry-level market remained strong as buyers looked for bargains and the high-end market slowly recovered through the second quarter of 2010.

The median sales price in Palo Alto is 5.3% lower than the same period in 2008, at $1,468,000. A huge jump of 82.2% from last quarter and just 5.5% lower than in 2008 was realized in total sales volume, at $205,188,388. Average days on market is just over a month and there were 123 sales this past quarter, similar to 2008.

Palo Alto holds its title as a premier housing market with the highest total sales volume of our four comparison cities, and will continue to become increasingly difficult for buyers to enter the market as the sales price to list price ratio continues its rise to 100%.

New Construction Review: Redwood Gate by SummerHill Homes, Palo Alto

(Redwood Gate houses)

The corner of El Camino Real and West Charleston Road has undergone a lot of real estate development in the past few years. First it was the 181-unit Arbor Real on the corner and now on the old Elks Club property, beside Arbor Real, is the new Redwood Gate by SummerHill Homes development. (map.)

The properties are listed as detached and attached single-family homes, which are unlike the the condominiums and townhouses available at the previous housing developments we have reviewed, Altaire and Sterling Park.

Redwood Gate may have better features, a better location and more square feet than its “competitors,” but it also has a higher price tag – $1.15 million to $1.499 million. Continue reading to find out more about this Silicon Valley real estate development and see if it lives up to the old adage: you get what you pay for.

Continue Reading »

New Construction Review: Sterling Park by Classic Communities, Palo Alto

(Sterling Park exterior)

Sterling Park is another of the recent housing developments in Palo Alto, which also includes Altaire and Redwood Gate. Located in the Midtown neighborhood, the use of mixed housing and two on-site parks helps Sterling avoid the compact feeling of standard developments in Silicon Valley and lets its residents enjoy some extra space. Click through to find out more about the property.

Continue Reading »

New Construction Review: Altaire by Regis Homes, Palo Alto

(Altair exterior/flickr)

Altaire, the newest townhouse development in Palo Alto, should be on anybody’s shortlist when looking for an entry-level opportunity to move into the area without forgoing quality accommodations. We’ll cover some important details you should know about the property in this post.

Continue Reading »

Palo Alto Housing Market – First Quarter 2010 Update

(Downtown Palo Alto on University Avenue)

Palo Alto is one of the premier real estate markets in California, but that doesn’t mean it was able to pass through the mortgage and housing crisis, just two years ago, without a scratch.

Like most of the Bay Area, Palo Alto home prices and inventory dipped following the crisis but are now showing signs of recovering.

Comparing first quarter results between 2008 and 2010, the number of single-family homes on the market went from 81 to 68, and the median sales price from $1.681 million to $1.518 million. First quarter results in 2009 were even lower, with 66 homes sold and a median sales price of $1.275 million.

Again, because of a location in the Silicon Valley, neighboring Stanford University and a top performing school district (news link), Palo Alto homes are some of the last to be hit by a recession and a bellwether out.

Continue Reading »

Silicon Valley School System Bang-for-the-Buck

The California Department of Education (CDE) has released the updated 2006 Academic Performance Index (API) scores for California schools, including data for San Mateo County and Santa Clara County.  The API is a statewide benchmark based on standardized achievement tests which is primarily used to rank schools relative to one another and relative to schools with similar demographics.  Here’s an example of what the statistics look like.

Image of California Academic Performance Index Sample

We’ll take a look at how school rankings and Silicon Valley real estate prices are related, but first let’s look at how to read the information.

Number of Students. In the first column, you’ll find the number of students whose results were included from that school.  It’s pretty close to the total number of students, less any excluded students.  The rules for excluding students are listed in the API Base Documentation Information Guide found on the CDE API page.  Surprisingly, the number of students has little to do with how well the school did in its API scores (almost, see epilogue).

Base API, Statewide Rank, Similar Schools Rank. The Base API score is like an SAT score except it’s from 200 to 1000.  Higher is better.  To make comparing schools easier, the CDE provides a statewide rank from 1 to 10 (ten is best) and a similar schools rank that rates schools (again from 1 to 10, ten being best) that have similar demographics and characteristicsApples-to-apples in a way.

Growth Target, API Target. The growth target is the number of points California wants the school to improve in the next year.  That added with the current base API score equals the API target.  The CDE doesn’t set a target for schools above the current statewide performance target of 800.

Silicon Valley School District Scores

I’ve assembled information from the CDE site and the Palo Alto Daily News to provide a table of school district API averages for Silicon Valley and Bay Area elementary and middle schools.

Image of Silicon Valley API Scores for Campbell, Cupertino, Foster City, Gilroy, Los Altos, Los Gatos, Mountain View, Palo Alto, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Saratoga, Sunnyvale

Continue Reading »

Determining Your Must-Haves When Buying a Home

As we stood under the cathedral ceiling looking over the stone-tiled patio, we could hear the owner and his son playing their XBox in one of the bedrooms.  It was penned off from the rest of the house so that Cujo wouldn't get loose. 

I thought the top-level townhome was in pristine condition considering they had a Cujo, until I peered into the room and saw a tiny 10-pound pug sitting attentively in front of the television!

Chart of Silicon Valley Newly Listed HomesThere were network connections wired into every room, and this being Silicon Valley, we asked the owner if it was standard CAT-5 or CAT-5e.  The gentleman, in his decidedly French accent, said with a bit of sheepishness, "You know, I'm not sure."  (He was a little redfaced because we'd talked about his job at Cisco.) 

So I asked whether he had a wireless network and his face lit up.  He hopped over to the storage closet in the entryway and eagerly showed off the router, neatly and carefully wired into the connectivity panel.  He didn't check for CAT-5e because he didn't need it.

The network drops were a "nice-to-have" for my client who does a lot with multimedia.  They weren't a dealmaker (and as he discovered not a dealbreaker) but given that this was the first home he'd seen as a potential buyer, he was eager to get some experience looking at houses under his belt so that he could really experience firsthand what his requirements feel like.

In the back of people's minds, most people start off with a list of requirements that I rank order informally using the "MoSCoW" method:

  • Must: What they know they want
  • Should: What they think they want
  • Could: What they don't have strong feelings about
  • Won't: What they don't want

For any number of reasons, what people say they want doesn't always line up with what they really want in their minds and hearts. 

A lot of times that's because of the difference between theory and application: being able to actually drive the commute or experience how many flights of stairs there are gives people a clearer picture of "could" vs. "won't".

The tricky part is separating the borderline "must-haves" from the "shoulds."  And with my client in the early stages of his home search, we needed to setup a stable foundation so that we'd learn those differences from every property he would see on the rest of his search.

Continue Reading »

Walking Tour of Downtown Palo Alto

Palo Alto calls itself the “Birthplace of the Silicon Valley” and has a legitimate claim: it is the home of the garage where Dave Hewlett and Bill Packard founded the original Silicon Valley startup, HP.

Image of Palo Alto Plaque

But Palo Alto, with Stanford University to the south, has grown into an upscale community complete with an active downtown area that boasts high-end stores, an affluent atmosphere, and great restaurants.

Continue Reading »