Silicon Valley Real Estate Blog - 1SiliconValley.com

Don’t be fooled!  Homes in Silicon Valley come on the market in a variety of conditions from horrible to breathtaking.  Some are dirty, cluttered, and perhaps even run down. I saw one this week that desperately needed exterior paint, landscaping to be tamed, and the removal of large quantities of faded plastic flowers that droop down over the living room window (all this in Los Gatos, with a million dollar price tag). 

Most homes, though, are better prepared for sale, as they should be. Savvy homeowners and agents know that the old adage is true: "you only get one chance to make a first impression". The home needs to be clean, uncrowded, and appealing from the day it goes on the market to maximize the seller’s return.  You want to make the right changes to improve the bottom line when selling, without over-improving such that the return begins to diminish.

In addition to that range of conditions in which homes are sold by their long term owners, we have to consider the "flipped house". A flipped house is one in which an investor has recently purchased a home, often from an original or long-time owner, usually in solid condition but with a dated, tired appearance.  What should buyers be on the lookout for?

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Apr.13.2008 [ Filed under: Home Buyers ] 3 Comments »

In most of California, the purchase agreement form used when writing an offer to buy residential real estate is the California Association of Realtors form, the Residential Purchase Agreement.  Along the San Francisco Peninsula and in Silicon Valley, though, often we use another form, the Peninsula Regional Data Service purchase agreement (PRDS contract).

Does it matter which one you use?  It certainly does!

While anything in the boilerplate can be modified (deleted or added to), the basic text is not identical from one to the next, and neither are the ramifications to buyer and seller. Here are a few examples:

- Property condition: one is an “as is” contract and the other requires that the property be delivered with a warrantee of condition (no leaks, no cracked glass, no structural defects in chimneys, all systems operational, etc.)

- Repairs in escrow: one says that repairs must be by a licensed contractor, the other that repairs must be done in workmanlike manner (can be done by anyone)

- Defaulting: one contract has more “teeth” with buyer or seller defaults than the other

There are pros and cons to each of these two forms. A skilled agent is “bilingual” in both, understands the strengths and weaknesses of each one, and can modify as needed the form to benefit the client.  Let’s look at some examples of why it matters.

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Apr.02.2008 [ Filed under: Home Buyers, Home Owners ] 9 Comments »

"The kids miss you."  Those weren’t the words he expected to hear that night but it didn’t come as a complete shock.  After all, he was gearing up for his commute tomorrow and it was going to be the same as it always was on Monday mornings.

"Besides, what if there’s an emergency?" she said.  He passed the commute time listening talk radio and audio books, and he’d learned enough French to get him through his last business trip without accidentally ordering snails at local restaurants.  (See the article How Long Will My Silicon Valley Commute Take?)  But he knew that when the tide flowed anytime after 3pm, there was no such thing as a person in a hurry: there were just kindred spirits parked on the highway.

They could afford it now and the extra time would help better their standard of living.  She knew he had work-a-holic tendencies and had a freelance job herself.  So it just made sense to move — but not only because of the extra time.  While this part of Silicon Valley was closer to other opportunities for both of them, she also said off-hand that she liked that it was a more prestigious neighborhood with stronger schools and less cars parked along the street.

We talked earlier about the logistics of moving up to another home.  (See the article Keeping Your Sanity While Moving Up to a Larger Home.)  Because it’s such an important decision both financially and emotionally, it’s important to understand what you’re getting when you upgrade.  (Also see the article Emotions in Real Estate: From Fear to Elation.)  Here are some of the factors to look for.

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Mar.23.2008 [ Filed under: Home Buyers, Home Owners ] Comment Here »

It wasn’t so much about the squirrels.  This Silicon Valley development was advertised as brand new — which is technically true because no one had lived in these homes for sale.  But the first proverbial "for sale" sign had been put up almost two years ago and the developer still had leftover inventory.

The first to move in, though, weren’t the people who had signed their contracts.  The first occupants were actually a set of long-tailed friends using the attic as a roost. 

Indeed, uninvited guests in the attic are annoying, but there was a good chance they wouldn’t have been more than an irritating nuisance to be taken care of "soon".  Except they brought their own uninvited passengers, which were so great in number that they fell from the ceiling. 

The owners were obviously unhappy with an indoor rain made up of mites landing on the bed, couch and kitchen table — especially in their new home.  And you can bet that the threat of a lawsuit was broached more than once. 

Prevention is the best cure and knowing your rights when buying a new home will help you sidestep major headaches down the road.

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Feb.28.2008 [ Filed under: Home Buyers ] 2 Comments »

I hope you all had a great holiday season and New Years!  Looking back, it seems that 2007 was the year of the mortgage for real estate here in Northern California.  A screenshot from the New York Times mortgage rate chart illustrates how buyers (and sellers) were impacted by the dynamics of the mortgage industry this year.

This chart shows the change in jumbo mortgage interest rates during 2007.  Put in historical context, the jumbo interest rates over the summer didn’t approach the level of rates in, say, 1981, but since 2002, the housing market has benefited from mortgage rates that are historically low.

It wasn’t 2005 or 2006, though.  In May and July, some buyers discovered the home they were interested in just became about 5% more expensive at the same price because of another interest rate bump.  (A $1,000,000 P&I mortgage costs $5,996 per month at 6% and $6,321 at 6.5%.)  All the more reason to better understand how rate locks work.

Some homeowners with adjustable rates found themselves in a similar situation and ended up attempting a short sale.  Many neighborhoods were unaffected, others were peppered with short sales — where the available homes may or may not have real estate signs indicating a sale.

But many of the markets around Silicon Valley didn’t behave like one would expect from reading the news reports.  It’s the sales transaction information that tells the best story.

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Dec.31.2007 [ Filed under: Silicon Valley News, Market Updates ] 2 Comments »

There’s an opportunity here for my clients looking for a good elementary school district.  For single-family homes, the news is almost exactly the same as last year.  There were six sales in 2006 and five this year in Redwood Shores.  Small statistical sample. 

The median number has dropped 7.8% year-over-year in October from $1,192,000 to $1,100,000; the average stayed almost the same going from $1,145,500 to $1,145,000, with eight new listings in both periods and an inventory of 14 and 13 in those respective years.  The news, though, is in townhomes and condominiums.

In Redwood Shores, there were only three were closed in October 2007 (compared to 15 the year before) with inventory levels similar to 2005 and 2006.  The percent of list received went from just above asking to 93.36% this year. 

It’s sometimes difficult to be the first wave to adjust to a different landscape and changing market conditions, no matter how much data is available.  In this case, the initial valuation of these three townhomes was unrealistic, so the percent of list received is lower than it might have been if information about the shifting landscape were already digested.

There are good elementary schools in Redwood Shores.  Sandpiper Elementary, part of the Belmont-Redwood Shores Elementary School District, improved upon its elite test scores last year with a 17 point increase to 923.  When I last called Sandpiper just after the start of the school year, they were on the border of being over-subscribed, but were still able to take new students.

Obviously, it’s important to confirm availability before making a purchasing decision.  The Belmont-Redwood Shores district has two other schools over 900 API to choose from if there’s a wait list at Sandpiper (Central Elementary and Fox Elementary), and the others two come in at 875 (Cipriani Elementary) and 823 (Nesbit Elementary).

[ Median Home 2007, 2006 | Market Snapshot | How Much Home Can I Get? ]

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Nov.07.2007 [ Filed under: Market Updates ] Comment Here »

With continuous days-on-market numbers getting higher for many (but not all) homes in Silicon Valley, agents know they need to do a little extra to generate interest for a motivated seller — especially in areas and quartiles where inventory is high.

The technique goes by several monikers and it can be the difference between being a motivated seller and a motivating seller.  Some call it a "reverse offer", others use the term "preemptive offer", or even "seller-initiated offer".  In any case, the technique is the same: the listing agent draws up a purchase contract that specifies terms that the seller will accept and gives it to one or more buyers. 

The contract is the same one that a buyer’s agent would write up when making an offer, except written by the seller.  All a potential buyer needs to do is sign on the proverbial dotted line.

Most of the time, reverse offers are used to open a line of communication, hoping to create competitive a competitive situation between multiple buyers, or to attract the attention of one buyer deciding between several properties.  But there are key considerations when for both buyers and sellers when the seller writes a reverse offer.

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Nov.06.2007 [ Filed under: Home Owners ] Comment Here »

There’s an interesting opportunity in Menlo Park when you take into account that the city has multiple personalities.  I want to illustrate this using the median home chart below and a couple facts.  First, if you look at the homes that are available, there are just as many single-family houses available between $400K and $800K as there are between $1.5M and $2.5M. 

Second, the ones at the low end of the range are closer to Redwood City and East Palo Alto, and use Redwood City and Ravenswood Elementary School Districts, respectively.  The more expensive ones are closer to Atherton and Palo Alto and are part of the Menlo Park Elementary School District — and its 907 district API score — or the Las Lomitas Elementary School District — and its two schools with a 948 district API score.

So, with that in mind, the median value of homes in Menlo Park can be somewhat of a tug-of-war.  For September 2007, there were two transactions for low-income housing which closed at about $330,000 each.  If you threw those two out, the median single-family home in Menlo Park was $1,220,000.  That’s a realistic 6% decrease year-over-year.

It’s important to look beyond what the numbers are and understand the story behind them.  In this case, there’s been some softness in Menlo Park given increasing CDOM numbers, from 19 to 38 year-over-year.  (The average CDOM over 10 years is 34.)  But, from on the ground experience, there wasn’t anything to indicate a decrease as dramatic as the median value chart would indicate.

[ Median Home 2007, 2006 | Market Snapshot | How Much Home Can I Get? ]

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Oct.14.2007 [ Filed under: Menlo Park, Market Updates ] 1 Comment »

Statistical analysis isn’t only important in calculating the value of real estate in Silicon Valley, it’s integral to choosing a starting point, whether buying or selling. 

One of the metrics at our disposal which comes up frequently is the cost per square foot of a particular property.  The "per square foot" number divides the total value of the transaction by how many square feet of space within buildings was purchased or rented.  That phrase "within buildings" is important. 

This quick-and-dirty metric lets my clients compare the relative costs of properties of different sizes and shapes located in different cities around the Bay Area (or the rest of the world for that matter).  And it’s useful — to a point. 

But misinterpreting this number often causes buyers to overpay, whether it’s because they offer more than a property is worth, they don’t account for hidden factors, or they take for granted the seller’s valuation based loosely on a per square foot calculations for the most recent, relevant comparable.  Here is what to look out for in your analysis.

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Sep.28.2007 [ Filed under: Home Buyers ] 1 Comment »

Available supply in the Los Altos market hasn’t been as low since 2000, when the median number for single-family homes jumped an astronomical 48.9% year-over-year.  That year, the number of closed transactions to new listings was almost 2-to-1 (48 closed to 25 new).  The headline number this year is that closed sales are the lowest in a decade, but so was the available inventory.  Relative demand for what’s available has been strong enough to draw notable increases in two key statistics.

Only one condo in Los Altos was sold this August and only a handful more in each of the previous years, so their trends and statistics may have a high variance.  In single-family homes, though, it wasn’t just the fact that the percent of list received jumped from just under full value to 104.31%.  The median listing value also increased 4% year-over-year, meaning homes weren’t just selling for more, they were starting higher too.  The median transaction increased year-over-year as well, from $1,650,000 to $1,782,000 (8%).

For July and August numbers in particular, schools play a large role in housing demand and Los Altos schools are some of the best in Silicon Valley.  I’ve worked with people who’ve made the argument that, assuming that schools are the critical factor in their home-buying decision, paying a premium on a home is preferable to sending their kids to lesser schools, or private schools.  To them, private schools may not be as good socially: the kids who they go to school with may not always live nearby or have as varied backgrounds.  Premiums aren’t necessarily the most financially-conservative route, but choices involving children don’t always need to be.

[ Median Home 2007, 2006 | Market Snapshot | How Much Home Can I Get? ]

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Sep.20.2007 [ Filed under: Market Updates, Los Altos ] Comment Here »